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What the polls say
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Box A Rox
October 25, 2012, 4:14pm Report to Moderator

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Swing State Polls


Colorado: Obama 51%, Romney 47% (Public Policy Polling)

Colorado: Obama 46%, Romney 43% (Project New America)

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 49% (Gravis)

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Rasmussen)

Florida: Obama 47%, Romney 45% (Project New America)

Iowa:: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (Public Policy Polling)

Michigan: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Foster McCollum)

North Carolina: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Public Policy Polling)

Pennsylvania: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Rasmussen)

Virginia: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)


The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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CICERO
October 25, 2012, 4:28pm Report to Moderator

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Quoted from Box A Rox
Rasmussen Has a Two-Point Republican Bias Compared to Other Pollsters

"Enough presidential polling data is now available to analyze Rasmussen's data... Averaging all 82 polls,
Rasmussen's mean bias is -1.91 points, that is, Rasmussen appears to be making Obama look almost 2
points worse than the other pollsters."


ElectoralVote.Com
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Oct25.html#item-8


Box, you live and die by polls.  You actually laughed when it's been suggested polls are meant to shape public opinion.Now you are pointing out biases.  Lol!  You are discrediting the polls you use to support your arguments.  Hahaha

Keep'em comin box.


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Box A Rox
October 25, 2012, 4:31pm Report to Moderator

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Polls, when done right, are a snapshot of public opinion at the time they were taken.  Nothing more, nothing less.


The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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Box A Rox
October 26, 2012, 7:17am Report to Moderator

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The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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Box A Rox
October 26, 2012, 6:51pm Report to Moderator

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Swing State Polls


Colorado: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (OnSight Public Affairs)

Colorado: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (Purple Strategies)

Florida: Romney 51%, Obama 46% (Sunshine State News)

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 48% (Rasmussen)

Iowa: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Gravis)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 49% (Gravis)

New Hampshire: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (New England College)

North Carolina: Romney 53%, Obama 45% (Gravis)

North Carolina: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Civitas)

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (American Research Group)

Ohio: Obama 46%, Romney 44% (Purple Strategies)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (CNN/ORC)

Virginia: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (Purple Strategies)

Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Rasmussen)



The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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Shadow
October 26, 2012, 7:14pm Report to Moderator
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Latest Presidential Polls: Gallup and Rasmussen Show Romney Leading, Virginia Has Obama 2% Behind

By Staff Reporter, EnStarz | Oct 26, 2012 09:07 AM ED
A member of the crowd watches Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney and U.S. President Barack Obama meet in the final U.S. presidential debate in Boca Raton, Florida, October 22, 2012.
(Photo : Reuters) A member of the crowd watches Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney and U.S. President Barack Obama meet in the final U.S. presidential debate in Boca Raton, Florida, October 22, 2012.

The latest presidential polls, including those from Gallup and Rasmussen, have shown Republican Gov. Mitt Romney with a slight lead over Barack Obama in various polls.

The latest Gallup Presidential Polls give Romney a 3 percent lead over Obama among “likely voters”. However, Obama has a 1 percent lead when it comes to “registered voters”, according to Gallup on Thursday.

The Gallup poll was released Thursday at 1 p.m. ET, and gave Romney 50 percent of likely voters compared to Obama's 47 percent. However, among registered voters Obama scored 48 percent compared to Romney's 47 percent. That poll was recored over the period from Oct. 19 to Oct. 25, 2012.
Read more at http://www.enstarz.com/article.....#Sdums835yIodkgI5.99
Latest Presidential Polls: In Battleground States Like Ohio, Polls Indicate a Close Race  Election 2012: Wisconsin President
Wisconsin: Obama 49%, Romney 49%
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DemocraticVoiceOfReason
October 27, 2012, 5:58am Report to Moderator

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Quoted from Box A Rox
Rasmussen Has a Two-Point Republican Bias Compared to Other Pollsters

"Enough presidential polling data is now available to analyze Rasmussen's data... Averaging all 82 polls,
Rasmussen's mean bias is -1.91 points, that is, Rasmussen appears to be making Obama look almost 2
points worse than the other pollsters."


ElectoralVote.Com
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Oct25.html#item-8


Rasmussen is considered one of the two most accurate national polls (Pew being the other) based on past performance.  Every poll has some "bias" (and this is NOT the same thing as "preferring" one candidate over the other - in this case "bias" is being used as a technical term which deals with the methodology and science of public opinion polling) in it that is why statisticians talk about a "margin of error" in any survey taken.   At the end of the day it is the record of accuracy which matters most.


George Amedore & Christian Klueg for NYS Senate 2016
Pete Vroman for State Assembly 2016[/size][/color]

"For this is what America is all about. It is the uncrossed desert and the unclimbed ridge. It is the star that is not reached and the harvest that is sleeping in the unplowed ground."
Lyndon Baines Johnson
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Shadow
October 29, 2012, 9:11am Report to Moderator
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R 52% O 47%...

OHIO: R 50% O 48%...
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Shadow
October 30, 2012, 10:56am Report to Moderator
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NPR: 8-point swing puts Romney in front
October 30, 2012 | 9:28 am
The Washington Examiner
A new National Public Radio poll, which had President Obama leading Mitt Romney 51 percent to 44 percent four weeks ago, now has Mitt Romney on top, 48 percent to 47 percent, with the Republican benefiting from his debate performances.

The poll found that among likely voters, 34 percent said Romney's debate performances made them more likely to vote for the challenger while 28 percent said they now are more likely to vote for the president. Among critical independent voters, though, Romney won big, with 37 percent saying they are now more likely to chose him compared to 21 percent for Obama.

But Democratic pollster Stanley Greenberg and Republican pollster Whit Ayres found that Obama leads by 4 points in the 12 battleground states that appear ready to pick the winner for the rest of the country next Tuesday. And they suggest that Romney's post-debate surge has "stalled."

The duo surveyed 1,000 likely voters nationwide with an over-sampling in 12 battleground states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. The poll was conducted Tuesday through Thursday (October 23-25). The margin of error is 3 percentage points for the national sample, and 4.5 percentage points for the smaller subsample (462 respondents) in the battleground states. The sample was 35 percent Democrat, 31 percent Republican.

Ayers said that Romney is doing particularly well among independent voters. According to NPR, "most of the gains for Romney have come from independents, who went from favoring Romney by a few points before the debates to favoring him 51% to 39% after the debates."

Ayres added, "So were it not for the debates, I think Obama would be cruising to a victory right now. Because of the debates, this is going to be an incredibly close election."

Romney also beat Obama as the candidate best prepared to handle the issues of jobs, the deficit and taxes, but Obama won on more issues: health care, Medicare, foreign policy and national security.

What's more, those polled said that Obama, by a 55 percent to 44 percent margin, has spelled out a clear agenda for the nation.
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Box A Rox
October 30, 2012, 11:15am Report to Moderator

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10/27/2012 - 10/29/2012     Rasmussen        Romney      49.0       Obama      47.0      
               
10/25/2012 - 10/29/2012     Reuters/Ipsos        Obama      48.0       Romney      47.0      
               
10/25/2012 - 10/28/2012     PPP                    Obama      49.0       Romney      49.0      
               
10/25/2012 - 10/28/2012     ABC/WaPo               Obama      49.0       Romney      49.0      
               
10/25/2012 - 10/28/2012     American Researc      Obama      48.0       Romney      48.0
                    
10/24/2012 - 10/28/2012     Pew                 Obama      47.0       Romney      47.0
                    
10/22/2012 - 10/28/2012     Gallup               Romney      51.0       Obama      46.0      
               
10/28/2012 - 10/28/2012     RAND                Obama      50.9       Romney      45.05      
               
10/26/2012 - 10/28/2012     Rasmussen        Romney      49.0       Obama      47.0      
               
10/26/2012 - 10/28/2012     PPP                     Romney      49.0       Obama      48.0           
          
10/24/2012 - 10/28/2012     Reuters/Ipsos       Obama      49.0       Romney      46.0                     


The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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Box A Rox
October 30, 2012, 5:33pm Report to Moderator

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Colorado: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Project New America)

Florida: Romney 48%, Obama 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Florida: Obama 47%, Romney 47% (SurveyUSA)

North Carolina: Romney 50%, Obama 45% (SurveyUSA)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (SurveyUSA)

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Project New America)

Virginia: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Newsmax/Zogby)

Oregon: Obama 47%, Romney 41% (Elway)


The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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Shadow
October 30, 2012, 5:51pm Report to Moderator
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Obama dominates Romney in Russian opinion poll

Published: 30 October, 2012, 17:30pm

An overwhelming percentage of Russians say the reelection of US President Barack Obama would better serve Russia’s national interests as opposed to the presidential challenger, Mitt Romney.

With the presidential race in the United States going down to the wire among American voters, Mitt Romney must be thankful that Russian citizens are not eligible to vote in US elections.
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Box A Rox
October 30, 2012, 5:55pm Report to Moderator

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Quoted from Shadow
Obama dominates Romney in Russian opinion poll

Published: 30 October, 2012, 17:30pm

An overwhelming percentage of Russians say the reelection of US President Barack Obama would better serve Russia’s national interests as opposed to the presidential challenger, Mitt Romney.

With the presidential race in the United States going down to the wire among American voters, Mitt Romney must be thankful that Russian citizens are not eligible to vote in US elections.


The Rest Of The World Prefers Obama!

Electing Romney is Electing G Worst Bush for a third term.  The world remembers that the
Bush Economic Meltdown didn't just run the US economy into the ditch... but the entire world economy
as well.

If you liked G Worst Bush... You'll Love Mittens Romney!


The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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Box A Rox
October 31, 2012, 7:42am Report to Moderator

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54% of Americans think Obama will win; 34% predict Romney




The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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Box A Rox
October 31, 2012, 2:31pm Report to Moderator

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Swing State Polls

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Quinnipiac)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 46% (University of Cincinnati)

Florida: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Quinnipiac)

Florida: Romney 50%, Obama 47% (Gravis)

Iowa: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Public Policy Polling)

Michigan: Obama 48%, Romney 45% (Detroit News)

North Carolina: Obama 49%, Romney 49% (Public Policy Polling)

Pennsylvania: Obama 48%, Romney 44% (Franklin and Marshall)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (Quinnipiac)

Virginia: Romney 49%, Obama 44% (Roanoke)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Public Policy Polling)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 43% (Marquette Law)


The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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