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Are You A Climate Change Denier?
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Box A Rox
August 10, 2013, 7:18pm Report to Moderator

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Quoted from Shadow
No different than you posting opinions from every left wing media source. Your 97% of scientists agreeing is like most of what you post , not accurate.


It's not accurate??? Why do you post that?
Do you have any reliable information that tells you my data is wrong???
Or is it just your opinion?



The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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Shadow
August 10, 2013, 7:20pm Report to Moderator
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Your data is based on the figures of one James Hansen who is a proven liar and the figures he projected on his hockey stick graph were all manipulated.
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Box A Rox
August 10, 2013, 8:49pm Report to Moderator

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Results of the most comprehensive analysis to date of peer-reviewed climate research,
covering 21 years of 'global climate change' or 'global warming' papers. We found 4014
abstracts
stating a position on anthropogenic global warming.
Of these, 97.1% abstracts endorsed the consensus.
Among the 10,356 authors of these papers, 98.4% of scientists endorsed the consensus.
This analysis of peer-reviewed research demonstrates a consensus of scientists and a
consensus of evidence; a useful resource for those seeking to communicate the scientific consensus.


The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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DemocraticVoiceOfReason
August 10, 2013, 9:34pm Report to Moderator

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Quoted from Box A Rox


No that's not true.  Any Scientist can have any view he wishes.  It just happens those who've looked
into climate change have (97%) come to the same conclusion.

Tomorrow the science could be proven wrong, and the earth may be proven flat, but I don't
think so.


You really are thick headed -- science is NOT based on consensus.  And, your last comment that if the science be PROVEN wrong --- do you know that in order to PROVE anything scientifically (thus taking if from Theory to Proven Fact) one must either uncover irrefutable evidence or replicate what one theorizes.   So IF science were to come up with verifiable evidence that the earth was flat .. scientifically PROVING it .. then you would be a fool to say otherwise.

The point you should try to comprehend is that at best -- global warming is a THEORY -- it certainly hasn't been scientifically proven.  That is why there is a still a huge debate, and that is why it doesn't matter what a "consensus" believes,,, the theory is still unproven and there are other legitimate theories to explain the various climatological phenomenon observed.  The one that I choose to believe and many scientists, as well, is that climate has always been variable and what we are observing is just one of the many variations of climate that the earth has experienced since the beginning of its existence.


George Amedore & Christian Klueg for NYS Senate 2016
Pete Vroman for State Assembly 2016[/size][/color]

"For this is what America is all about. It is the uncrossed desert and the unclimbed ridge. It is the star that is not reached and the harvest that is sleeping in the unplowed ground."
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Box A Rox
August 10, 2013, 9:38pm Report to Moderator

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...science is NOT based on consensus.  


Yes we agree.  Science is based on observable data... not consensus.

In the case of Climate Change, there is CONSENSUS by 97% of scientists in the field, as to
the observable data and it's cause.

Again, the only 'debate' on climate change, is political, not scientific.


The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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Henry
August 10, 2013, 10:15pm Report to Moderator

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Even if real humans would simply adapt like they always did and we wouldn't need the government to tell us how to do it. The ONLY reason this is political is because governments want to use it to control and regulate the population as if some idiots in DC could actually fix the problem. What data is out there is not impressive, the changes are not as dire as some hype them up to be and add to the fact the time frame which they actually recorded such things is again not impressive let alone accurate.


"In the beginning of a change, the Patriot is a scarce man, brave, hated and scorned. When his cause succeeds, however, the timid join him, for then it costs nothing to be a Patriot."

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Box A Rox
August 10, 2013, 10:20pm Report to Moderator

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The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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Henry
August 10, 2013, 10:31pm Report to Moderator

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Quoted from Box A Rox


So what that is saying is that global warming is man made, another unproven theory.


"In the beginning of a change, the Patriot is a scarce man, brave, hated and scorned. When his cause succeeds, however, the timid join him, for then it costs nothing to be a Patriot."

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DemocraticVoiceOfReason
August 10, 2013, 11:17pm Report to Moderator

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Quoted from Box A Rox


Yes we agree.  Science is based on observable data... not consensus.

In the case of Climate Change, there is CONSENSUS by 97% of scientists in the field, as to
the observable data and it's cause.

Again, the only 'debate' on climate change, is political, not scientific.


I don't believe your 97% consensus is a credible figure.   There are many scientists who do NOT belong to that consensus ... many good, credible, well-educated scientists ... because Global Warming remains an unproven theory.

So the scientific debate DOES continue.


George Amedore & Christian Klueg for NYS Senate 2016
Pete Vroman for State Assembly 2016[/size][/color]

"For this is what America is all about. It is the uncrossed desert and the unclimbed ridge. It is the star that is not reached and the harvest that is sleeping in the unplowed ground."
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CICERO
August 11, 2013, 5:50am Report to Moderator

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Quoted from Box A Rox
Results of the most comprehensive analysis to date of peer-reviewed climate research,
covering 21 years of 'global climate change' or 'global warming' papers. We found 4014
abstracts
stating a position on anthropogenic global warming.
Of these, 97.1% abstracts endorsed the consensus.
Among the 10,356 authors of these papers, 98.4% of scientists endorsed the consensus.
This analysis of peer-reviewed research demonstrates a consensus of scientists and a
consensus of evidence; a useful resource for those seeking to communicate the scientific consensus.


What makes this so funny is, 21 years of research by 10,356 scientists must prevent any new research from now to infinity, because 97% of the scientists claim that their theory is correct.  You may as well stop all research relating to climate change.  And we certainly should NOT teach children in government schools to look at alternate theories of climate change.  That would be as blasphemous as teaching creationism.  Since the origins of man and climate change have been proven.

It's amazing watching a "progressive" make arguments that stop scientific inquiry on subjects, because a consensus of 20th century scientists agree on their own theories.  

Science is a religion to some.


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Box A Rox
August 11, 2013, 6:02am Report to Moderator

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Quoted from Henry


So what that is saying is that global warming is man made, another unproven theory.


Yes Henry, the majority of Climate Change is manmade... but that is just my opinion and
I'm not a climate scientist.  

If you read what 97% of actual Climate Scientists write on the subject... peer reviewed published
data on Climate Change... the facts are undeniable.  
If you read what Right Wing politicians and CEO's say about the subject, you'd get the opposite response.

Who do you believe?  The Science or those with a vested interest in denying the Science?
*********************************************************************
Let me put it another way. See if this helps:
If you had a failing heart and your Doctor, the AMA, the New England Journal of Medicine, and
97% of the heart doctors and researchers in the entire world were sure that DRUG A would cure
your heart, but your congressman, your senator and the CEO's of several companies who make
a competing drug said that you needed Drug B, which would you choose?

There is no Scientific debate on Climate Change.  Only Political debate.



The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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Shadow
August 11, 2013, 6:04am Report to Moderator
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I think most people would agree that the climate is changing and has been for thousands of years. The problem is the scientists are not all in agreement as to the cause whether it is manmade or a natural cycle. The Medieval warming period was warmer than it is today and there was no use of fossil fuels, cars, industry, and many fewer people on earth at that time  so what caused the climate to change Box?
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Box A Rox
August 11, 2013, 6:07am Report to Moderator

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Quoted from CICERO


What makes this so funny is, 21 years of research by 10,356 scientists must prevent any new research from now to infinity, because 97% of the scientists claim that their theory is correct.  You may as well stop all research relating to climate change.  And we certainly should NOT teach children in government schools to look at alternate theories of climate change.  That would be as blasphemous as teaching creationism.  Since the origins of man and climate change have been proven.

It's amazing watching a "progressive" make arguments that stop scientific inquiry on subjects, because a consensus of 20th century scientists agree on their own theories.  

Science is a religion to some.


Politics is a religion to some.  They cannot deny their GOD.

BTW, Climate Science is continuing today throughout the world.  Climate Science isn't "completed", any more
than the study of Geology or even Evolution is "completed".


The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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Henry
August 11, 2013, 6:48am Report to Moderator

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Quoted from Box A Rox


Who do you believe?  The Science or those with a vested interest in denying the Science?
*********************************************************************



Quoted Text
The ‘scientific consensus’ about global warming turns out to have a lot more to do with manipulating the numbers

How do we know there’s a scientific consensus on climate change? Pundits and the press tell us so. And how do the pundits and the press know? Until recently, they typically pointed to the number 2,500 — that’s the number of scientists associated with the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Those 2,500, the pundits and the press believed, had endorsed the IPCC position.

To their embarrassment, most of the pundits and press discovered they were mistaken — those 2,500 scientists hadn’t endorsed the IPCC’s conclusions, they had merely reviewed some part or other of the IPCC’s mammoth studies. To add to their embarrassment, many of those reviewers from within the IPCC establishment actually disagreed with the IPCC’s conclusions, sometimes vehemently.

The upshot? The punditry looked for and found an alternative number to tout: “97% of the world’s climate scientists” accept the consensus, articles in the Washington Post, the U.K.’s Guardian, CNN and other news outlets now claim, along with some two million postings in the blogosphere.

This number will prove a new embarrassment to the pundits and press who use it. The number stems from a 2008 master’s thesis by student Maggie Kendall Zimmerman at the University of Illinois, under the guidance of Peter Doran, an associate professor of Earth and environmental sciences. The two researchers obtained their results by conducting a survey of 10,257 Earth scientists. The survey results must have deeply disappointed the researchers — in the end, they chose to highlight the views of a subgroup of just 77 scientists, 75 of whom thought humans contributed to climate change.  The ratio 75/77 produces the 97% figure that pundits now tout.

The two researchers started by altogether excluding from their survey the thousands of scientists most likely to think that the Sun, or planetary movements, might have something to do with climate on Earth — out were the solar scientists, space scientists, cosmologists, physicists, astronomers and meteorologists. That left the 10,257 scientists in such disciplines as geology, geography, oceanography, engineering, paleontology and geochemistry who were somehow deemed more worthy of being included in the consensus. The two researchers also decided scientific accomplishment should not be a factor in who could answer — those surveyed were determined by their place of employment (an academic or a governmental institution). Neither was academic qualification a factor — about 1,000 of those surveyed did not have a PhD, some didn’t even have a master’s diploma.

To encourage a high participation among these remaining disciplines, the two researchers decided on a quickie survey that would take less than two minutes to complete, and would be done online, saving the respondents the hassle of mailing a reply. Nevertheless, most didn’t consider the quickie survey worthy of response — just 3,146, or 30.7%, answered the two key questions on the survey:

1 When compared with pre-1800s levels, do you think that mean global temperatures have generally risen, fallen, or remained relatively constant?
2 Do you think human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures?

The questions posed to the Earth scientists were actually non-questions. From my discussions with literally hundreds of skeptical scientists over the past few years, I know of none who claims the planet hasn’t warmed since the 1700s, and almost none who think humans haven’t contributed in some way to the recent warming — quite apart from carbon dioxide emissions, few would doubt that the creation of cities and the clearing of forests for agricultural lands have affected the climate. When pressed for a figure, global warming skeptics might say humans are responsible for 10% or 15% of the warming; some skeptics place the upper bound of man’s contribution at 35%. The skeptics only deny that humans played a dominant role in Earth’s warming.

Surprisingly, just 90% of the Earth scientists who responded to the first question believed that temperatures had risen — I would have expected a figure closer to 100%, since Earth was in the Little Ice Age in the centuries immediately preceding 1800. But perhaps some of the responders interpreted the question to include the past 1,000 years, when Earth was in the Medieval Warm Period, generally thought to be warmer than today.

As for the second question, 82% of the Earth scientists replied that human activity had significantly contributed to the warming. Here the vagueness of the question comes into play. Since skeptics believe human activity has been a contributing factor, their answer would have turned on whether they consider an increase of 10% or 15% or 35% to be a significant contributing factor. Some would, some wouldn’t.

In any case, the two researchers must have feared that an 82% figure would fall short of a convincing consensus — almost one in five wasn’t blaming humans for global warming — so they looked for a subset that would yield a higher percentage. They found it — almost — by excluding all the Earth scientists whose recently published peer-reviewed research wasn’t mostly in the field of climate change. This subset reduced the number of remaining scientists from over 3,000 to under 300. But the percentage that now resulted still fell short of the researchers’ ideal, because the subset included such disciplines as meteorology, which Doran considers ill-informed on the subject. “Most members of the public think meteorologists know climate, but most of them actually study very short-term phenomenon,” he explained, in justifying why he decided to exclude them, among others. The researchers thus decided to tout responses by those Earth scientists who not only published mainly on climate but also identified themselves as climate scientists.

“They’re the ones who study and publish on climate science,” Doran explained. “So I guess the take-home message is, the more you know about the field of climate science, the more you’re likely to believe in global warming and humankind’s contribution to it.”

Once all these cuts were made, 75 out of 77 scientists of unknown qualifications were left endorsing the global warming orthodoxy. The two researchers, the master’s student and her prof, were then satisfied with the findings of her master’s thesis. Are you?
Financial Post


"In the beginning of a change, the Patriot is a scarce man, brave, hated and scorned. When his cause succeeds, however, the timid join him, for then it costs nothing to be a Patriot."

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Box A Rox
August 11, 2013, 6:55am Report to Moderator

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"There are none so blind as those who will not see."

Believe what ever you want.  Makes no difference to me.  You can reject the science if you choose.
As with my example... no one forces you to take DRUG A... you can believe the CEO's and the politicians
and take DRUG B.

I'll stick with the actual Science.  You can stick with the politics, hype and misdirection.


The modern conservative is engaged in one of man's oldest exercises in moral
philosophy; that is, the search for a superior moral justification for selfishness.

John Kenneth Galbraith

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