Welcome, Guest.
Please login or register.
Are you better off?
Rotterdam NY...the people's voice    Rotterdam's Virtual Internet Community     Chit Chat About Anything  ›  Are you better off? Moderators: Admin
Users Browsing Forum
No Members and 46 Guests

Are you better off?  This thread currently has 2,644 views. |
3 Pages « 1 2 3 Recommend Thread
senders
September 16, 2012, 4:55pm Report to Moderator
Hero Member
Posts
29,348
Reputation
70.97%
Reputation Score
+22 / -9
Time Online
1574 days 2 hours 22 minutes
SO WEALTH IS SUBJECTIVE....1%ERS ARE JUST THE GHOST IN THE MACHINE...
one's wealth shouldn't be attached to others.....

that's why a flat tax is much fairer than the loopholes and the cast system we have in place...why? because it's meant
to keep you in your place for a longer time rather than a shorter time

it's called STABILIZING THE WORLD ECONOMY






Quoted Text
The wealth effect: Fed aims to drive up stocks and home prices and get Americans to spend more
Article by: PAUL WISEMAN and MARTIN CRUTSINGER , Associated Press Updated: September 14, 2012 - 5:05 PM
2 comments resize text printbuy reprints

WASHINGTON - The Federal Reserve wasn't just trying to drive down interest rates when it announced a third round of bond purchases Thursday.

It also wants to make people feel wealthier — and more willing to spend.

The idea is for the Fed's $40 billion-a-month in bond purchases to lower interest rates and cause stock and home prices to rise, creating a "wealth effect" that would boost the economy.

And "if people feel that their financial situation is better because their 401(k) looks better or for whatever reason — their house is worth more — they're more willing to go out and spend," Chairman Ben Bernanke told reporters. "That's going to provide the demand that firms need in order to be willing to hire and to invest."

Sure enough, stocks have surged since the Fed announced plans to buy mortgage bonds as long as it feels necessary — a policy known as "quantitative easing," or QE. And since Bernanke gave a speech Aug. 31 more or less confirming that QE3 was on the way, the Dow Jones industrial average has jumped more than 500 points, about 4 percent.

Stocks tend to rise when investors expect lower interest rates. In part, that's because some investors shift money out of low-yielding bonds and into stocks, which are riskier but offer potentially higher returns. And lower rates can spark more spending and boost corporate profits.

Still, economists say the wealth effect from higher stock prices tends to be modest. And some caution that home prices might not rise much as long as many would-be buyers can't qualify for mortgages.

In addition to the bond purchases, the Fed said it expects to keep short-term rates super-low at least through mid-2015, six months longer than it previously planned. And it said it would probably hold rates low even after the economic recovery has strengthened — a sign that it will intervene until the economy starts growing fast enough to reduce unemployment sharply.

Ads by Google
Time Warner Cable®Order TV, Internet & Phone. Save with TWC Bundle Deals Today! timewarnercable.com/NorthEast
As a result of the Fed's latest moves, Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, expects the average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage to fall in the next several months to near 3 percent from 3.55 percent now. Lower rates could trigger another wave of refinancing, which would give people more money to spend.

If lower mortgage rates boost home sales and prices, they could contribute to the wealth effect: Americans whose homes rise in value would be more willing to spend.

The combination of more refinancings and increased household wealth will help the economy quickly but only modestly, Zandi predicts. The Fed's moves should lower unemployment (8.1 percent in August) by up to 0.3 percentage point by the end of 2013, he says.

Many economists worry that the Fed is reaching a point of diminishing returns after nearly four years of aggressive efforts to help the economy. Bernanke himself urged everyone to keep expectations in check.

"I personally don't think that it's going to solve the problem," he said Thursday. "But I do think it has enough force to help nudge the economy in the right direction."

Every $1 increase in stock prices raises consumer spending by 3 cents to 5 cents, according to calculations by Joseph Gagnon, a former Fed official who's a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics. So if the market value of the Standard & Poor's 500 stock index, which was $13.9 trillion Friday, rose 10 percent, consumer spending would rise $40 billion to $70 billion.

In the context of a $15.6 trillion economy, "it's small," Gagnon says. "But it adds up."

About 80 percent of stocks are held by the wealthiest 10 percent of the population. As a result, the majority of Americans don't enjoy much of a lift from stock-market rallies. That said, the richest 20 percent of Americans account for about 40 percent of consumer spending.

Rising housing prices work better, prodding people to spend more, Yale University economist Robert Shiller and others have found.

But the mortgage bond purchases are unlikely to boost home sales significantly, even if they manage to lower mortgage rates further. The average rate on a 30-year fixed mortgage is barely above the record low of 3.49 percent.

Home sales remain depressed not so much because loan rates are too high but because would-be buyers can't qualify unless they have stellar credit or can produce hefty down payments.

"If you get a 2 percent mortgage but you've got to put 30 or 40 percent down, is that going to encourage people to buy a house?" says Doug Roberts, chief investment strategist at Channel Capital Research.

Still, Bernanke maintained that the Fed can help further, even with rates already ultra-low. He's argued that the Fed's first two rounds of bond purchases, in which it bought more than $2 trillion in bonds, saved 2 million jobs and accelerated growth.

By comparison, President Barack Obama's $862 billion stimulus program created nearly 2.7 million jobs, according a study by Zandi and former Fed Vice Chairman Alan Blinder.

In the short term anyway, the economy might actually receive a bigger boost from Apple's new iPhone 5. Michael Feroli, chief US economist at JPMorgan, calculated that the iPhone might add 0.25 to 0.5 percentage point to the annual growth rate in the last three months of 2012.

"I wouldn't be surprised" if the iPhone does more for the economy, Feroli said in an e-mail. "At the end of the day, economic growth is about producing more and better goods and services."



...you are a product of your environment, your environment is a product of your priorities, your priorities are a product of you......

The replacement of morality and conscience with law produces a deadly paradox.


STOP BEING GOOD DEMOCRATS---STOP BEING GOOD REPUBLICANS--START BEING GOOD AMERICANS

Logged Offline
Private Message Reply: 30 - 31
senders
September 16, 2012, 5:05pm Report to Moderator
Hero Member
Posts
29,348
Reputation
70.97%
Reputation Score
+22 / -9
Time Online
1574 days 2 hours 22 minutes
Quoted Text
Did Ben Bernanke Break The Law?
Roger Nachman, Benzinga Staff Writer November 04, 2010 8:01 AM
+ Follow
Print

Email
Tickers: WPO
Benzinga Share:  
inShare




Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke may have broken the law by talking about what the Fed did and why by writing about its actions in a Washington Post (NYSE: WPO [FREE Stock Trend Analysis]) op-ed article, which was published today.

In the article, Bernanke goes on to discuss why policymakers couldn't sit idle, while the economy moved at an anemic pace. He talked about the previous round of quantitative easing he had already done, to the tune of $1.7 trillion, and how it stopped the economic freefall, and started the path for growth.

What is especially troubling is Bernanke is looking at stock prices, instead of the actual economy. Read these lines:

"Stock prices rose and long-term interest rates fell when investors began to anticipate the most recent action. Easier financial conditions will promote economic growth. For example, lower mortgage rates will make housing more affordable and allow more homeowners to refinance. Lower corporate bond rates will encourage investment. And higher stock prices will boost consumer wealth and help increase confidence, which can also spur spending."

It's a little troublesome that Bernanke is looking at stock prices, as opposed to manufacturing data, services data, and other economic data, not what the Dow and S&P did yesterday.



Read more: http://www.benzinga.com/life/m.....he-law#ixzz26g1cL400


...you are a product of your environment, your environment is a product of your priorities, your priorities are a product of you......

The replacement of morality and conscience with law produces a deadly paradox.


STOP BEING GOOD DEMOCRATS---STOP BEING GOOD REPUBLICANS--START BEING GOOD AMERICANS

Logged Offline
Private Message Reply: 31 - 31
3 Pages « 1 2 3 Recommend Thread
|


Thread Rating
There is currently no rating for this thread