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Kevin March
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http://www.mikechurch.com/joomla/daily-features/global-cooling-for-dummies.html
Quoted Text

Global COOLING for Dummies

Part 1



I promised to write a complete analysis and reference guide to assist the members of the Red, White & Dude Nation in our fight for Carbon Liberty. First let's cover the basic points we'll use to prove we are not setting the Earth "...on Fi-ire".

1. The Planet goes through natural warming and cooling cycles.

2. The mathematics for 0.045% of the Atmosphere- carbon dioxide - being able to cause such a catastrophe do not compute.

3. Our Sun is the Primary Driver of our Weather and Climate.

4. We are either entering or on the precipe of entering the Next Ice Age.  


5. We are as much a part of nature as Polar Bears are so it is natural and correct to assume that the by-products of our existence, using the resources of the Earth, are as natural as Polar Bear poo made from similar resources is.

If you can find a geologist, you can ask him this question “....hey doc! how many ice ages has the Earth experienced in the last million or so years?” The answer will be “...at least 13 but possibly 16 depending on when you start and how you count”. If you ask the same question about “global warmings” you will get exactly the same answer. This is known as a cycle and they are as set in geologic stone as Crust sitting atop Mantle is.

The graph below illustrates this with the shaded grey lines. Study it closely as we will be referencing it often. Do you notice the peaks and valleys on the graph? Compare the dramatic ones with the graph marks for 100,000 year periods.



Do you see that with near precision the Ice Ages appear about every 100,000 years? Do you also see that it takes 30-50,000 years to slide into the Icy abyss, yet as little as a century to swing out of it? What could possibly cause this? Dino farts?


Cavemen burning hummer sized fires? Hummers themselves? Well the answer is none of the above. To coin a phrase from James Carville “It’s the orbit stupid”. Let us take a look at that orbit shall we?

The Serbian Astronomer Milutin Milankovitch was the first to discover our wobbly orbit and he calculated (correctly) that there are three factors at work: Eccentricity, Obliquity and Precession. The Graphics below explain what each one means and what it does.







This Video will help explain this visually for you. Once you understand this basic principal of Astrophysics, the rest of this discussion, like the destruction of all things from the Collectivist-Libs-Socialist-Commies becomes.... academic.



Now before Al Gore got fat and happy off the sale of Junk Science and making bad movies, the science of Climate change was actually grounded in... well science. In a simple Google search that took all of 30 seconds (less time than it takes Gore to eat a Double Q.P. with Cheese) I was able to extricate, from deep freeze, what used to be taught as Climate science. Here are two examples. The first is from The University of California at San Diego. http://earthguide.ucsd.edu/virtualmuseum/climatechange2/03_1.shtml

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“When Fourier analysis was applied to deep-sea records in 1975, it emerged that the oxygen-isotope series contained strong cycles with periods near 100,000 years, 41,000 years, and 23,000 years. These are precisely the periods expected if Earth's orbital elements (eccentricity, obliquity, and precession) govern ice-age climates, as proposed by Milankovitch Theory. Thus, there could be no more doubt that orbital elements had to be considered as important drivers of climate on long time scales.The following years saw a profusion of information and discussion on this subject. A revolution in thought was being made, and our understanding of Earth history would never be the same. The orbit-climate connection squarely puts Earth's climate into the context of the fluctuating gravitational field of the solar system. The planets wandering across the heavens may not control our individual lives, as once thought during the early days of astronomy, but they do control the course of large-scale climate fluctuations which form the backdrop for the evolution of the ice-age megafauna and for our own species.”


This actually sounds like what I learned as science before politicians and socialists got a hold of the discipline. While the University of Montana (http://www.homepage.montana.edu/~geol445/hyperglac/time1/milankov.htm) is still teaching similar facts they do go out of their way to explain that it just can't be ONLY the orbit, stupid yet they still get it right.

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"(From NOAA's National Geophysical Data Center)  At times when Northern Hemisphere summers are coolest (farthest from the Sun due to precession and   greatest orbital eccentricity) and winters are warmest (minimum tilt), snow can accumulate on and cover broad areas of northern America and Europe.  At present, only precession is in the glacial mode, with tilt and eccentricity not favorable to glaciation

Even when all of the orbital parameters favor glaciation, the increase in winter snowfall and decrease in summer melt would barely enough to trigger glaciation, not to grow large ice sheets.  Ice sheet growth requires the support of positive feedback loops, the most obvious of which is that snow and ice have a much lower albedo than ground and vegetation, thus ice masses tend to reflect more radiation back into space, thus cooling the climate and allowing glaciers to expand."


Right now we are at the minimal part of our elliptical orbit. This means that we are due, and may have begun the long slog into deeper space (18-28 Million Miles) that orbit will take us. No amount of MMCGW is going to save us from what that will entail. Ice and lots of it. Read Dr. McClenney's complete report on this (in 5 parts) here http://icecap.us/index.php/go/joes-blog/the_sky_is_falling_or_revising_the_nine_times_rule/.


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Kevin March
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http://www.mikechurch.com/joomla/daily-features/global-coolingr-dummies-pt.-ii.html

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Global COOLING for Dummies Pt. II

Global Cooling For Dummies

Pt 2 - Here Comes the Sun


by Mike Church - Denier in Chief

In Pt I of  "Global Cooling for Dummies" we learned that Earth’s orbit is wacky and anything but circular. The wild swinging of our planet some two million miles further further out into space than during a circular orbit combined with the exaggerated tilt of the Earth’s axis accounts for most of our Ice Ages. (figures i, ii, iii and iv)

There is another equally natural phenomenon that wreaks havoc on our Eden. It is called the Sun and like Earth, it also has wild mood swings. We can measure these swings in the number and intensity of sunspots. The Sun has a cycle lasting 11 years long (though there are anomalies).

Men began looking at the sun and recording what they saw ages ago. Serious telescopic recordings began with Galileo Galilei in 1610. During the time of 1645 to 1715 very few sunspots were observed. Coincidentally, the Earth cooled rapidly and sharply in what we know today as “The Little Ice Age”. The MMCGW crowd has invested a great amount of time and energy to paint this period as a fluke that has no bearing on today as if Earth just decided to enter into a menopause because they started their crusade.

"The Warmers" have even gone to the extreme of insulting the reliability of written observations during this time i.e. no computers run by NASA  and the U.N. to record the results, the results must be skewed or flawed. I have discovered that this is a dubious claim at best as one of the “astronomers” making the observations was none other than Giovani Domenico Cassini http://web.hao.ucar.edu/public/education/sp/images_old/cassini.html himself, who many of the same scientists named the Cassini-Hyugens Space Probe for.



Figure V. Cassini and Hevelius' Measurements of Sunspots shown as part of the record reconstructed here by Maunder

Another of the 17th Century observers was an astronomer named Johannes Hevelius http://web.hao.ucar.edu/public/education/sp/images_old/hevelius.html who published his findings in 1647. Hevelius’s sunspot counts were taken from 1642 - 1679 and are meticulously noted and appear consistent with Cassini’s (they worked together for a while at the Observatoire de Paris). These recordings along with others - Figure V - back up the Maunder Minimumhttp://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/NasaNews/2001/200112065794.html,(note the MMCGW plug at the end of NASA's description!) the period of little solar activity named for astronomer Edmund Walter Maunder who graphed out the 11 year sunspot cycle.

Maunder, long before James Hansen, Gore, Boxer, Lieberman, McCain and Warner came along, deduced that solar activity was having a dramatic effect on Earth’s climate. Maunder’s work, like the Founding Father’s view of Limited Self Government, is mocked... “how can we take this 18th Century, un-evolved Barbarian’s work [Maunder’s] seriously” the Warmer’s huff and puff? How can we not take it seriously?

Prolonged lack of sunspot activity spells climate disaster for this planet. D-I-S-A-S-T-E-R. You may be asking how, why!? would the sun play these dirty tricks on 20th century recyclers who have saved countless owls and snail darters. Dr. David Archibald has answered this very question so simply that Huckleberry Finn could understand it. Figure VI explains Archibald’s Theory. Archibald explains the Sun’s magnetism and activity http://www.mikechurch.com/joom.....er_solarcycle_24.pdf and it’s effects on our climate succinctly in his presentation "Failure to Warm" to the LaVoisier Group of Australia this past March.


Figure VI from David Archibald's "Failure to Warm" paper

"At its simplest, the relationship between the solar magnetic field strength and the Earth’s  climate is this:  lower magnetic field strength means few sunspots, fewer sunspots means  less solar wind, less solar wind means more galactic cosmic rays, more galactic cosmic  rays means more low level cloud formation, more low level clouds means more sunlight  reflected back into space, which in turn means less heating of the Earth’s surface and  atmosphere.”

The Cosmic Ray component of Archibald’s Theory is sound and has been borne out in similar experiments/studies such as “Cosmic Rays and Climate” by Dr. Jasper Kirby, 26 MArch, 2008 (read the study here). Is this sinking in like a $300 million dollar ad with Nancy “Stretch Face” Pelosi and Wannabe Al Gorian Newt Gingrich? “Mike this is way too simple and makes way too much sense. This CAN’T be the answer. I thought you would say that. Here again is Dr. Archibald to speak Cro-Magnon to you.

“In theological terms, the global warming belief system is a reversion to animism.  It is like  the Old Testament story of Moses going out into the desert and coming back to find the  Israelites worshipping a golden calf.  We on the rational side of science know to worship a  higher god – the Sun.  I, for one, examine its auguries on a daily basis, specifically looking  for the first sunspot of Solar Cycle 24.... As at the date of this Annual General Meeting, no such sunspot has been seen, which  means that the month of solar minimum will be in October 2008, or later.  My own  estimate is that the month of solar minimum will be July 2009.


Figure VII (Pray that Archibald is wrong on this one)

Each day’s delay in the onset of Solar Cycle 24 (Figure VII) means that the world will be 1.4 thousands  of a degree cooler during that cycle.  That doesn’t sound like much, but days become  weeks, which run into months, and then years, and each year of delay is good for a half  degree decline in temperature.  If you are expecting three years of delay, as I am, that  amounts to one and a half degrees.  For we few, we happy few of the Lavoisier Society, our  immediate thought is of how we are going to adjust to longer ski seasons.  Less fortunate  people will be spending more time staring out through frosty windows onto the barren  wastelands of their frozen fields, wondering when Spring will come.”

-David Archibald, LaVoisier Group AU



Figure VIII - How the Great Cloud "Circle of Life" ruins Elton John's Carbon Neutrality

Recently Dr. Roy Spencer undertook http://www.uah.edu/News/newsread.php?newsID=875 (Figure VIII) to study cloud formations in the tropics and discovered, to his surprise.

"All leading climate models forecast that as the atmosphere warms there should be an increase in high altitude cirrus clouds, which would amplify any warming caused by manmade greenhouse gases," he said. "That amplification is a positive feedback. What we found in month-to-month fluctuations of the tropical climate system was a strongly negative feedback. As the tropical atmosphere warms, cirrus clouds decrease. That allows more infrared heat to escape from the atmosphere to outer space."
-Roy Spencer, 9 August, 2007

Let us recap what we have learned here in Pt. ii. The Sun has been driving climate since climate began and man has observed this since 1610. This Solar Activity drives cloud formation which continues the Solar Forcing effects. A Quiet Sun is a COOL Sun and this means a colder Earth. Combine this with what we learned in PT 1 and you should now begin to see the great climate wheels at work in terms so clear and plain you have to wonder why educated men insist that we simply cannot know this to be true.

In Pt. 3, we will all run our cars an hour extra per day, hyper-ventilate and only eat fruits flown into our markets by Concorde as we worship the gas that makes possible all life on Earth: CO2.


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bumblethru
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Has Al Gore and company seen this? There seems to be more scientific proof against global warming than there is for it!!


When the INSANE are running the ASYLUM
In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the rule. -- Friedrich Nietzsche


“How fortunate for those in power that people never think.”
Adolph Hitler
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Shadow
June 3, 2008, 8:31pm Report to Moderator
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There have been many credible scientists saying the same thing but the Gore supporters refuse to believe it and instead believe Al Gores junk science. They're just positive that mankind is responsible for global warming not a natural cycle which happens every 20 thousand years or so.
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Kevin March
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Quoted from Shadow
There have been many credible scientists saying the same thing but the Gore supporters refuse to believe it and instead believe Al Gores junk science. They're just positive that mankind is responsible for global warming not a natural cycle which happens every 20 thousand years or so.


31,072 to be exact...

http://michellemalkin.com/2008/05/19/31072-scientists-john-mccain-needs-to-talk-to/

Quoted Text
31,072 scientists John McCain needs to talk to
By Michelle Malkin  •  May 19, 2008 07:14 AM This morning at the National Press Club, The Petition Project will release the names of more than 31,000 scientists who reject the Gore Theory of Manmade Global Warming. Dr. Arthur Robinson of the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine spearheaded the project:

Quoted Text
Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine (OISM)

Who: Dr. Arthur Robinson of the OISM

What: release of names in OISM “Petition Project”

When: 10 AM, Monday May 19

Where: Holeman Lounge at the National Press Club, 529 14th St., NW, Washington, DC

Why: the Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine (OISM) will announce that more than 31,000 scientists have signed a petition rejecting claims of human-caused global warming. The purpose of OISM’s Petition Project is to demonstrate that the claim of “settled science” and an overwhelming “consensus” in favor of the hypothesis of human-caused global warming and consequent climate damage is wrong. No such consensus or settled science exists. As indicated by the petition text and signatory list, a very large number of American scientists reject this hypothesis.

It is evident that 31,072 Americans with university degrees in science - including 9,021 PhDs, are not “a few.” Moreover, from the clear and strong petition statement that they have signed, it is evident that these 31,072 American scientists are not “skeptics.”


More info herehttp://www.petitionproject.org/index.html.

“If I am elected President,” John McCain told voters http://michellemalkin.com/2008/05/15/the-problem-with-mccains-big-vision-thing-speech/ last week, “I will work with anyone who sincerely wants to get this country moving again. I will listen to any idea that is offered in good faith and intended to help solve our problems, not make them worse.”

He’ll talk to far Left bloggers for the Huffington Posthttp://michellemalkin.com/2008/05/16/mccain-reaches-out-to-blogson-the-left/.

How about talking to these scientists before he pushes http://michellemalkin.com/2008/05/12/mccains-climate-change-tour-bypasses-cooler-heads/ any further with his climate change agenda?




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It's ALL science.....theory, statistics, ideologies etc.......drink wine dont drink wine, drink milk dont drink milk, eat eggs dont eat eggs......it all depends on who needs the money at the time.......


...you are a product of your environment, your environment is a product of your priorities, your priorities are a product of you......

The replacement of morality and conscience with law produces a deadly paradox.


STOP BEING GOOD DEMOCRATS---STOP BEING GOOD REPUBLICANS--START BEING GOOD AMERICANS

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